Australian Housing

Australian Housing Market News & Forecast

On this page you can find all our content related to the Australian Housing Market. This includes Australian housing market news and analysis, property market data and charts as well as our housing market forecasts.

A common question many of our readers have is: Will the Australian housing market crash?

To answer this, we will run you through how we think about this question here at Profit Watch.

How Profit Watch can make you a smarter buyer/seller in the Australian housing market

The Australian housing market operates on a cycle — and once you understand this cycle it becomes a lot easier to make smart investments in the market.

It all comes down to land.

We know it sounds simple, maybe too simple.

But the fact is that land is often the forgotten part of the ‘labour + capital’ equation.

You need land to do anything in this country — it’s the bedrock of the Australian economy.

Once you wrap your head around how passive income is extracted from the Australian housing market via rent — you can become a smarter buyer/seller.

We know things look stretched in Australia at the moment. For instance, this is what the RBA is looking at right now:

Australian Housing Market - Property prices and Household Debt

Source: RBA

But you have to ignore the Australian housing market doom-mongers who are trying to sell newspapers, or make a buck of their own.

We look past the hyperbole here at Profit Watch and give you the cold hard facts.

Yes, 2018 was a down year and 2019 was pretty much flat for national average housing prices.

But talk of a crash in Australian housing is premature.

History is our teacher here.

What we have gathered from over 100 years of housing data is what informs our outlook for the Aussie housing market.

Numerous well known historical analysts such as Fred Harrison and WD Gann, link real estate to 18-year cycles. And according to Australian economist Phil Anderson, the cycle has lasted on average 18.6 years — never less than 16 years and never more than 21 years.

Once you know how this cycle works — you can ignore headlines like ‘Housing Downturn Imminent’ or anything that includes the words ‘Australian Property Bubble’.

The cycle tells us that government policy changes are usually quite predictable, you can make accurate forecasts and that until there is a major change in tax policy — the boom, bust cycle will continue.

Where is the best place to buy a house in Australia?

To get to grips with this question, Profit Watch looks at a large range of data and charts to keep things simple for you.

We don’t tell you where to live, but we aim to give you a good understanding of the trends within the Australian property market.

We look at these trends from the perspective that people will always seek out passive income from rent.

It’s the easiest buck to make in the world — money from the land.

Given that we follow the Australian economy and markets closely — we know where the money is moving within this country.

This plays a big role in demographic changes as well as investment flows, all of which play into the Australian housing market.

We know the Sydney and Melbourne housing markets play a big role in moving national averages — but what about the Perth housing market, the Tasmanian housing market or the Brisbane and Gold Coast housing markets?

If you are looking for answers — make sure to read ‘Where to Invest in Australian Real Estate in 2020’ if you want to find out where we think the new Aussie real estate hot spot will be this year.

Regional Property Market - Could Real Estate in Regional Areas Increase in Demand?

Property Market Update: Are Regional Areas about to BOOM?!

For most of human history, people have lived in low-density rural locations. However… In 2007, for first time in history, the UN said more people lived in urban areas. In 2015, around three million people were moving to cities every week! That figure...
The Real Estate Cycle and Australian House Prices

Housing Market Activity: Even Covid-19 Can’t Stop This Cycle

Take a look at the graph below... It’s the ‘Mortgage Bankers Association of America’ Purchase Index Source: Bloomberg It’s basically a report of mortgage loan applications in the US. But it’s...
Perth Property Market - Perth Real Estate Investment

Rich Lister Names His Favourite Property Market in Australia — Perth

Madre mia! Since last year, your Profit Watch service has opined that Perth was the best buying opportunity over the next five years in the real estate market. This morning I see the following in The Australian Financial Review… ‘Rich Lister...
Government Real Estate Grants - Property Market Stimulus

Profit from Government Real Estate Grants This Way

They say there are two certainties in life — death and taxes. But in Australia — there’s a third. Government support of the real estate industry. You name it; they’ll go for it. Home buyer grants, stamp duty savings, tax incentives, fancy...
Infrastructure Spending - Government Economic Stimulus

Here Comes Infrastructure Money! Residential Property Prices in Context

Today, Scott Morrison announced an avalanche of major new infrastructure projects would be ‘fast-tracked’. Including the long-mooted inland Brisbane to Melbourne rail link, which is expected to cost $10 billion. Today, we look at the broader context for Aussie residential property...
Buying Property with Super - Superannuation Housing Market

Super Cash Heading for the Housing Market — Buying Property with Super

Hey, not fair! So cries Australian property rich lister Harry Triguboff. Harry’s got beef with the ‘stimulus’ package HomeBuilder. Can’t we get something a little more workable in his favour? Harry says it favours house and land packages over apartments. He has...
Cliodynamics: Violence, Riots and Social Unrest

Cliodynamics: Violence, Riots…and the Link to Your House

A study of history enables us to time the future. But it’s the study of land economics that joins the dots together. Let me explain… A man called Peter Turchin studies population dynamics at the University of Connecticut in Storrs. He uses a transdisciplinary...
Real Estate Windfalls - Property Investing Profits

Real Estate Windfalls for the Shrewd – The Gains from Infrastructure Investment

Please don’t tell me you don’t get your money’s worth when it comes to Profit Watch. It was only last Tuesday I told you that land values in Western Sydney were set to soar thanks to a new rail link...
How the HomeBuilder Grant Works — Get Ready for the Land Frenzy!

How the HomeBuilder Grant Works — Get Ready for the Land Frenzy!

Right on cue, the federal government has come to the rescue of the housing industry under the guise of a ‘tradie-led recovery’. Aussie home buyers can now access a $25,000 ‘HomeBuilder’ grant for new home builds and renovations. If you’re lucky...
Australia Mortgage Stress?

Mortgage Stress? — Exposing a Bogus Mainstream Headline

1.4 million Australians in mortgage stress! So screeches a headline on the ABC News website this merry morn. See for yourself! But wait… A little reading further down reveals…this figure is an extrapolation from Martin North’s Digital Finance Analytics (DFA) survey. It appears...

Follow Us

403FansLike
141FollowersFollow
3,450SubscribersSubscribe
ASX CQR - Charter Hall REITs Share Price

Charter Hall Cashes out on Two Sites as Share Price Falls (ASX:CQR)

The REIT sector is in an odd spot. On the one hand, some commercial sites are more in demand than ever before. With a flurry...